Don't try to catch a falling knife: Reflections on the current price of oil (part 1)
The price of oil has fallen precipitously in recent months. WTI now trades at around $67 per barrel, a far cry from the $100 level attained this past summer.
Lesson of 1909
Last week was a productive one for diplomats. Not only did the U.S. and China sign a landmark climate change accord, the two mega-powers also established military guidelines to govern the contested waters off China and agreed to reduce technology tariffs.
Looking beyond borders: Why Europe isn't dead
I recently had a discussion with a client that had just returned from a European vacation. He shared stories about the interesting food, culture, and architecture. But he also offered a warning…
Frogs in the pot
A few weeks ago I attended a lunch with Jean-Claude Trichet. As one might expect from the former head of the European Central Bank, Trichet spoke at length on the economy, quantitative easing and monetary policy.
What we know from marshmallows: The relationship between self-discipline and success
In 1968, researchers from Stanford University stuck a marshmallow in front of a four year old girl and gave her a choice: eat the marshmallow now or wait 15 minutes and receive TWO marshmallows.
Worrying signals for Russia’s economy
Two important events involving Russia occurred in the last week. First, Russia amassed a highly suspicious buildup of 20,000 troops on the Ukrainian border. Second, Russia’s yield curve inverted.