Category "Risk"

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Oligarchs, despots, and soccer moms: Reflections on the price of oil (part 2)

Last week, we weighed in on the recent drop in the price of oil. We likened the move to a rock thrown into a pond and cautioned against reaching for the falling knife.

December 11, 2014 8 Mins
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Don't try to catch a falling knife: Reflections on the current price of oil (part 1)

The price of oil has fallen precipitously in recent months. WTI now trades at around $67 per barrel, a far cry from the $100 level attained this past summer.

December 5, 2014 5 Mins
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Lesson of 1909

Last week was a productive one for diplomats. Not only did the U.S. and China sign a landmark climate change accord, the two mega-powers also established military guidelines to govern the contested waters off China and agreed to reduce technology tariffs.

November 19, 2014 3 Mins
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Frogs in the pot

A few weeks ago I attended a lunch with Jean-Claude Trichet. As one might expect from the former head of the European Central Bank, Trichet spoke at length on the economy, quantitative easing and monetary policy.

October 10, 2014 6 Mins
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Worrying signals for Russia’s economy

Two important events involving Russia occurred in the last week. First, Russia amassed a highly suspicious buildup of 20,000 troops on the Ukrainian border. Second, Russia’s yield curve inverted.

August 8, 2014 7 Mins
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Waiting in line: The high cost of red tape

Imagine you spent 4% of your life waiting in line. Given that there are 8,765 hours in a year, this would imply that you spent 350 hours each year staring at the backs of people’s heads.

July 4, 2014 3 Mins

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