Tag "probabilistic thinking"
The enemy is us: Mitigating confirmation bias
Back in March, as physical distancing practices were being implemented globally, I was bemused by contrasting provocatively titled articles published within a day of one another.
(Not) boring finds for January 2020
We close the first month of 2020 by considering the WEF’s list of the top global economic risks (sorted by likelihood and potential extent of impact), Howard Mark’s framework for assessing investment decisions (game theory makes an appearance), what Houdini...
Negative interest rates in an unprecedented time | EP51
This episode, our CIO Paul Moroz considers the potential themes and catalysts that are driving negative interest rates, what that may mean for investors, and whether those signal a new, longer term paradigm shift.
Playing the plan: Mawer’s U.S. equity portfolio | EP43
U. S. equity co-manager, Colin Wong, discusses the big picture backdrop (interest rates, U. S. -China trade war) and then dives deep into the investment thesis behind Microsoft, and A. O. Smith.
Storytelling is for bedtime: How we produce evidence-based research
We believe that clear communication of ideas and analysis contributes to sound decision-making.
Coffee cup risk
It is much more valuable to have a probabilistic risk evaluation process.