Know what you don't know
As an avid basketball fan, I have been enjoying the recent success of the Golden State Warriors, who currently hold the best record in the NBA’s Western Conference.
The Art of Boring™ was created for curious and passionate investors. We share strategies, frameworks, and insights to help readers and listeners make better investment decisions. Our aim? To provide some bottom-up, long-term investing signal to cut through the short-term noise.
As an avid basketball fan, I have been enjoying the recent success of the Golden State Warriors, who currently hold the best record in the NBA’s Western Conference.
Financial markets function relatively well most of the time; it is only on occasion that markets break, the system goes awry and crises ensue.
Values shape the outcomes of our relationships, careers, investments and society, and therefore, are far too important to leave to chance or camels.
After decades at the helm of global oil markets, OPEC appears to be relinquishing its status as designated “swing producer.”
My colleague James spent time with some distressed debt investors last week. Now, as a bond investor, James is already less positive and more cynical than the stereotypical equity manager.
Every year, our team pulls together a list of books that most influenced our thinking in the previous year. It is not an easy task, given the extent of the team’s reading.
In the spirit of the holidays, let’s put aside the overwhelming barrage of negative short-term economic and geopolitical news we’ve been faced with recently – which is often one of the most challenging aspects of long term investing – and instead, focus on a long term positive investment trend as we look towards 2015.
‘Twas the day before Christmas, so we’ll take our cue, to provide our blog readers, with a year in review.
In investing, it is also alluring to dive right in and try a stock picking approach that seems to work well for others.
Last week, we weighed in on the recent drop in the price of oil. We likened the move to a rock thrown into a pond and cautioned against reaching for the falling knife.
The price of oil has fallen precipitously in recent months. WTI now trades at around $67 per barrel, a far cry from the $100 level attained this past summer. The move is akin to a large rock dropping into the investment pond: we expect ripple effects.
Last week was a productive one for diplomats. Not only did the U.S. and China sign a landmark climate change accord, the two mega-powers also established military guidelines to govern the contested waters off China and agreed to reduce technology tariffs.
As an avid basketball fan, I have been enjoying the recent success of the Golden State Warriors, who currently hold the best record in the NBA’s Western Conference.
Financial markets function relatively well most of the time; it is only on occasion that markets break, the system goes awry and crises ensue.
Values shape the outcomes of our relationships, careers, investments and society, and therefore, are far too important to leave to chance or camels.
After decades at the helm of global oil markets, OPEC appears to be relinquishing its status as designated “swing producer.”
My colleague James spent time with some distressed debt investors last week. Now, as a bond investor, James is already less positive and more cynical than the stereotypical equity manager.
Every year, our team pulls together a list of books that most influenced our thinking in the previous year. It is not an easy task, given the extent of the team’s reading.
In the spirit of the holidays, let’s put aside the overwhelming barrage of negative short-term economic and geopolitical news we’ve been faced with recently – which is often one of the most challenging aspects of long term investing – and instead, focus on a long term positive investment trend as we look towards 2015.
‘Twas the day before Christmas, so we’ll take our cue, to provide our blog readers, with a year in review.
In investing, it is also alluring to dive right in and try a stock picking approach that seems to work well for others.
Last week, we weighed in on the recent drop in the price of oil. We likened the move to a rock thrown into a pond and cautioned against reaching for the falling knife.
The price of oil has fallen precipitously in recent months. WTI now trades at around $67 per barrel, a far cry from the $100 level attained this past summer. The move is akin to a large rock dropping into the investment pond: we expect ripple effects.
Last week was a productive one for diplomats. Not only did the U.S. and China sign a landmark climate change accord, the two mega-powers also established military guidelines to govern the contested waters off China and agreed to reduce technology tariffs.
To be sure, there are many reasons a company may prefer to turn to private investors over more traditional public markets, but as more companies choose private funding when they need to raise capital, what are the implications for investors in public markets?
Last week, Morningstar interviewed international equity portfolio manager David Ragan about finding resilient stocks in international markets during turbulent times.
How can a business continue to grow while still retaining the internal characteristics that helped contribute to its past success?
Canadian insurance companies are no longer just in the business of selling insurance to Canadians. They function more like financial conglomerates, and that, for investors, is potentially a good thing.
Given how often “defensive” enters into the investing lexicon and that it can mean different things to different people, aiming for a greater degree of precision in its definition may help to reduce misunderstanding or generalized historical bias.
In theory, investors should improve at least linearly over time as they make and learn from errors. But in practice, there seems to be little evidence of this (only few active managers beat the market over longer time periods).
Italy has been the source of drama in recent weeks, and it hasn’t all been about men racing bicycles in spandex.
These 15 questions are by no means exhaustive—they are not intended to be—but they serve as a helpful checklist for the main structural factors to consider when assessing a country’s macroeconomic backdrop.
Humans and machines have different strengths and weaknesses, and on our team, we tend to see the foreseeable future as a world in which the two work side-by-side. As with any tool, for machine learning to be useful, it is what it is being used for and how that matters.
It is possible for smaller companies to punch above their weight in a foreign market. In our Canadian small cap portfolio, there have been many wealth-creating companies that were able to successfully expand and compete in the United States.
While investor apprehension in this environment is understandable, volatility in markets is both normal and expected. Looking back through our Art of Boring archive, we were struck by the enduring relevance of not letting fear guide investor decision-making during jittery times.
There is arguably another, more robust means of competitive advantage: that of barriers to capacity expansion. And this factors into one of the two main reasons behind limiting our exposure to the utility space.
To be sure, there are many reasons a company may prefer to turn to private investors over more traditional public markets, but as more companies choose private funding when they need to raise capital, what are the implications for investors in public markets?
Last week, Morningstar interviewed international equity portfolio manager David Ragan about finding resilient stocks in international markets during turbulent times.
How can a business continue to grow while still retaining the internal characteristics that helped contribute to its past success?
Canadian insurance companies are no longer just in the business of selling insurance to Canadians. They function more like financial conglomerates, and that, for investors, is potentially a good thing.
Given how often “defensive” enters into the investing lexicon and that it can mean different things to different people, aiming for a greater degree of precision in its definition may help to reduce misunderstanding or generalized historical bias.
In theory, investors should improve at least linearly over time as they make and learn from errors. But in practice, there seems to be little evidence of this (only few active managers beat the market over longer time periods).
Italy has been the source of drama in recent weeks, and it hasn’t all been about men racing bicycles in spandex.
These 15 questions are by no means exhaustive—they are not intended to be—but they serve as a helpful checklist for the main structural factors to consider when assessing a country’s macroeconomic backdrop.
Humans and machines have different strengths and weaknesses, and on our team, we tend to see the foreseeable future as a world in which the two work side-by-side. As with any tool, for machine learning to be useful, it is what it is being used for and how that matters.
It is possible for smaller companies to punch above their weight in a foreign market. In our Canadian small cap portfolio, there have been many wealth-creating companies that were able to successfully expand and compete in the United States.
While investor apprehension in this environment is understandable, volatility in markets is both normal and expected. Looking back through our Art of Boring archive, we were struck by the enduring relevance of not letting fear guide investor decision-making during jittery times.
There is arguably another, more robust means of competitive advantage: that of barriers to capacity expansion. And this factors into one of the two main reasons behind limiting our exposure to the utility space.
Impacts of higher inflation and interest rates and the benefits of an integrated research team.
Inflation risk, slowing global growth, and the un-globalization trend—a review of Q3.
Why we launched—our interest and history in U.S. mid cap stocks—potential benefits of the asset class, and a few holding examples.
John Kay’s “simplicity, modularity, redundancy” risk framework elements and our ongoing risk management process improvements.
Mispricing patterns we’re seeing in the market; where we’re finding an edge; improving our management team assessment techniques.
A real time risk management discussion addressing the increasing regulatory pressures currently impacting a wide range of businesses in China.
The tremendous IPO activity led by tech companies; our evaluation process for a company prior to it becoming public; and recent matrix meeting outcomes for the portfolio.
Philip Fisher’s continuous relevance; determining fair value ranges for blitzscalers; and potentially overlooked opportunities in Russia and Kazakhstan.
A review of the quarter: the high-level themes have continued.
CIO Paul Moroz walks us through his “best practices” portfolio construction checklist.
Opening the Pandora’s box of Bitcoin, societal trust, and why investors might not, but need to, fully understand the technology.
“Making the macro micro” around demand trends, inflation concerns, valuations, and earnings. We discuss Comcast, Visa, Dollar General, Alphabet, and more.
Impacts of higher inflation and interest rates and the benefits of an integrated research team.
Inflation risk, slowing global growth, and the un-globalization trend—a review of Q3.
Why we launched—our interest and history in U.S. mid cap stocks—potential benefits of the asset class, and a few holding examples.
John Kay’s “simplicity, modularity, redundancy” risk framework elements and our ongoing risk management process improvements.
Mispricing patterns we’re seeing in the market; where we’re finding an edge; improving our management team assessment techniques.
A real time risk management discussion addressing the increasing regulatory pressures currently impacting a wide range of businesses in China.
The tremendous IPO activity led by tech companies; our evaluation process for a company prior to it becoming public; and recent matrix meeting outcomes for the portfolio.
Philip Fisher’s continuous relevance; determining fair value ranges for blitzscalers; and potentially overlooked opportunities in Russia and Kazakhstan.
A review of the quarter: the high-level themes have continued.
CIO Paul Moroz walks us through his “best practices” portfolio construction checklist.
Opening the Pandora’s box of Bitcoin, societal trust, and why investors might not, but need to, fully understand the technology.
“Making the macro micro” around demand trends, inflation concerns, valuations, and earnings. We discuss Comcast, Visa, Dollar General, Alphabet, and more.