Emerging Markets: What happened in 2022, and where are we at? | EP130
Digging into last year’s performance drivers, the current opportunity set, and benefits of resuming boots-on-the-ground research.
The Art of Boring™ was created for curious and passionate investors. We share strategies, frameworks, and insights to help readers and listeners make better investment decisions. Our aim? To provide some bottom-up, long-term investing signal to cut through the short-term noise.
Digging into last year’s performance drivers, the current opportunity set, and benefits of resuming boots-on-the-ground research.
The nuanced impacts of inflation to companies’ balance sheets that investors might be missing.
Chief Investment Officer Paul Moroz shares takeaways from the Research team's annual post-mortem discussions.
Portfolio Manager Crista Caughlin walks listeners through the tumultuous bond market experiences of 2022 and outlines three main economic scenarios the team is monitoring for 2023.
Some of the main challenges facing the continent, what we gleaned from visiting over 45 companies, and ESG considerations that are front of mind for major European investment firms.
A review of last quarter, the major themes and takeaways from 2022, and what’s on the horizon for the new year.
It’s inflation’s second punch that can deliver a blow that investors may not be expecting.
What investors can learn from the S-curves of technologies both old and new.
'Twas the week before Christmas, thus time to review—the economic story of 2022.
What we think about the newly proposed tax on share buybacks in Canada, a balanced take on the energy theme, and where we’ve trimmed, exited, and added in the portfolio.
How do investors figure out what a company is worth? (Especially in a higher inflationary and interest rate environment?)
A deep dive—right to the atomic level—of how semiconductors work and the potential implications for the industry when Moore’s Law comes to an end.
The deglobalization shift, long-term opportunities we’re seeing in utilities, and what’s interesting about gravel.
Digging into last year’s performance drivers, the current opportunity set, and benefits of resuming boots-on-the-ground research.
The nuanced impacts of inflation to companies’ balance sheets that investors might be missing.
Chief Investment Officer Paul Moroz shares takeaways from the Research team's annual post-mortem discussions.
Portfolio Manager Crista Caughlin walks listeners through the tumultuous bond market experiences of 2022 and outlines three main economic scenarios the team is monitoring for 2023.
Some of the main challenges facing the continent, what we gleaned from visiting over 45 companies, and ESG considerations that are front of mind for major European investment firms.
A review of last quarter, the major themes and takeaways from 2022, and what’s on the horizon for the new year.
It’s inflation’s second punch that can deliver a blow that investors may not be expecting.
What investors can learn from the S-curves of technologies both old and new.
'Twas the week before Christmas, thus time to review—the economic story of 2022.
What we think about the newly proposed tax on share buybacks in Canada, a balanced take on the energy theme, and where we’ve trimmed, exited, and added in the portfolio.
How do investors figure out what a company is worth? (Especially in a higher inflationary and interest rate environment?)
A deep dive—right to the atomic level—of how semiconductors work and the potential implications for the industry when Moore’s Law comes to an end.
The deglobalization shift, long-term opportunities we’re seeing in utilities, and what’s interesting about gravel.
This month we learn how to spot grey rhinos instead of black swans; about the impending software apocalypse; the necessity of stress testing; why we need self-awareness; and, that Gord Downie is one of the best things about what it means to be Canadian.
Each day we observe events and instantly associate meaning to them. In other words, we are constantly making inferences about the world—usually unconsciously. Unfortunately, we tend to neglect challenging these inferences or even fool ourselves into thinking that they are wholly evidence based.
Conversations about increasing interest rates and their impact on bond investments have recently spiked in Canada. Since bonds are traditionally viewed as an investment that provides a steady stream of income while acting as a safety net within an overall balanced portfolio, an environment of rising interest rates understandably causes unease: it can decrease the price of bonds and therefore can negatively impact performance.
This month we are hosting a live webcast on finding opportunities in a time of higher interest rates, fuller valuations, and increased risk; reminding ourselves to focus on focusing more effectively; learning about the unintended consequences of innovation; exploring what the current state of malls may mean for property investors; and are intrigued by Howard Marks’ follow-up memo to his memo, “There They Go Again…Again”.
Short-term gratification can hurt in the long run.
One thing we might say: change may be closer in the proverbial mirror than it appears.
This week we have the pleasure of partnering again with Beakerhead, a Calgary-based charitable organization that “brings together the arts, sciences, and engineering sectors to build, engage, compete, and exhibit interactive works of art, engineered creativity and entertainment.”
This month we learned investors may want to think more like virologists; to start preparing our goodbyes to the internal combustion engine; that interpreting correlations between the economy and a stock may be moot; how Microsoft can learn from the history of IBM; and that attitude sometimes matters more than smarts.
About a decade ago, was an investor to ask, “What are the best businesses? The ones nearly immune to competition?” the most robust options on the market were arguably two-way network-effect businesses.
The risk that a change in the rules governing an industry could impair an institution's financial performance—more casually known as “stroke of the pen risk,”—is something that all companies are exposed to in varying degrees.
We must not ignore the dragons in our lives or they will grow bigger and bigger, until they are destabilizing. Acknowledging your dragons is necessary to keep them kitten-sized.
For investors, trust is an especially fascinating topic. It’s often a factor within the investment thesis since it relates to management teams. And yet, how should we consider “trust” in the context of management teams? How much trust is really enough to invest with someone? And is it ever prudent to fully trust a management team?
This month we learn how to spot grey rhinos instead of black swans; about the impending software apocalypse; the necessity of stress testing; why we need self-awareness; and, that Gord Downie is one of the best things about what it means to be Canadian.
Each day we observe events and instantly associate meaning to them. In other words, we are constantly making inferences about the world—usually unconsciously. Unfortunately, we tend to neglect challenging these inferences or even fool ourselves into thinking that they are wholly evidence based.
Conversations about increasing interest rates and their impact on bond investments have recently spiked in Canada. Since bonds are traditionally viewed as an investment that provides a steady stream of income while acting as a safety net within an overall balanced portfolio, an environment of rising interest rates understandably causes unease: it can decrease the price of bonds and therefore can negatively impact performance.
This month we are hosting a live webcast on finding opportunities in a time of higher interest rates, fuller valuations, and increased risk; reminding ourselves to focus on focusing more effectively; learning about the unintended consequences of innovation; exploring what the current state of malls may mean for property investors; and are intrigued by Howard Marks’ follow-up memo to his memo, “There They Go Again…Again”.
Short-term gratification can hurt in the long run.
One thing we might say: change may be closer in the proverbial mirror than it appears.
This week we have the pleasure of partnering again with Beakerhead, a Calgary-based charitable organization that “brings together the arts, sciences, and engineering sectors to build, engage, compete, and exhibit interactive works of art, engineered creativity and entertainment.”
This month we learned investors may want to think more like virologists; to start preparing our goodbyes to the internal combustion engine; that interpreting correlations between the economy and a stock may be moot; how Microsoft can learn from the history of IBM; and that attitude sometimes matters more than smarts.
About a decade ago, was an investor to ask, “What are the best businesses? The ones nearly immune to competition?” the most robust options on the market were arguably two-way network-effect businesses.
The risk that a change in the rules governing an industry could impair an institution's financial performance—more casually known as “stroke of the pen risk,”—is something that all companies are exposed to in varying degrees.
We must not ignore the dragons in our lives or they will grow bigger and bigger, until they are destabilizing. Acknowledging your dragons is necessary to keep them kitten-sized.
For investors, trust is an especially fascinating topic. It’s often a factor within the investment thesis since it relates to management teams. And yet, how should we consider “trust” in the context of management teams? How much trust is really enough to invest with someone? And is it ever prudent to fully trust a management team?
Portfolio Managers Grayson Witcher and Colin Wong share market observations, industries where fundamentals are shifting, and a few recent additions to the portfolio.
Jim Hall (chair, head of our risk management process, and portfolio manager) shares his overall observations on prevailing macroeconomic risks—and the effects on our process and the EAFE large cap portfolio.
How we achieve balance in the portfolio, manage hubris, and have accounted for inflation risk in our investment process.
Chief Investment Officer, Paul Moroz, reflects on notable learnings from 2021 and how time and experience still clarify the most in investing—and life.
Our systematic assessment framework to narrow the probabilities in analysing fast-growing technology companies in an effort to improve our odds of identifying those elusive “holy compounders.”
The major themes of Q4 and a look ahead to 2022.
Inflation cycles throughout history, Keynes vs. monetarists, and why the enemy is…still us.
Global debt, China’s credit cycle, shifting monetary and fiscal policy objectives, and the three scenarios we are thinking about this year.
Impacts of higher inflation and interest rates and the benefits of an integrated research team.
Inflation risk, slowing global growth, and the un-globalization trend—a review of Q3.
Why we launched—our interest and history in U.S. mid cap stocks—potential benefits of the asset class, and a few holding examples.
John Kay’s “simplicity, modularity, redundancy” risk framework elements and our ongoing risk management process improvements.
Portfolio Managers Grayson Witcher and Colin Wong share market observations, industries where fundamentals are shifting, and a few recent additions to the portfolio.
Jim Hall (chair, head of our risk management process, and portfolio manager) shares his overall observations on prevailing macroeconomic risks—and the effects on our process and the EAFE large cap portfolio.
How we achieve balance in the portfolio, manage hubris, and have accounted for inflation risk in our investment process.
Chief Investment Officer, Paul Moroz, reflects on notable learnings from 2021 and how time and experience still clarify the most in investing—and life.
Our systematic assessment framework to narrow the probabilities in analysing fast-growing technology companies in an effort to improve our odds of identifying those elusive “holy compounders.”
The major themes of Q4 and a look ahead to 2022.
Inflation cycles throughout history, Keynes vs. monetarists, and why the enemy is…still us.
Global debt, China’s credit cycle, shifting monetary and fiscal policy objectives, and the three scenarios we are thinking about this year.
Impacts of higher inflation and interest rates and the benefits of an integrated research team.
Inflation risk, slowing global growth, and the un-globalization trend—a review of Q3.
Why we launched—our interest and history in U.S. mid cap stocks—potential benefits of the asset class, and a few holding examples.
John Kay’s “simplicity, modularity, redundancy” risk framework elements and our ongoing risk management process improvements.